NYMEX sensitivity case developed from the Mexico gas, power and renewables Strategic Plannig Outlook 2025 Report

Commodity Market Report 06 June 2025

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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

Report summary

This “NYMEX” case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and the impact on Mexico’s power sector’s long-term outlook. Wood Mackenzie’s gas price forecast – a key component of our Base Case (Mexico, gas, power and renewables strategic planning outlook 2025) projects a rebound in the Henry Hub prices later this decade as stronger demand growth accelerates depletion of low-cost inventories averaging a price of around US$4.6/MMBtu by 2030. The growth rate steepens for the late 2030’s decade with prices averaging US$5.2/MMBtu.

This NYMEX case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and the impact on Mexico’s power sector’s long-term outlook.

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

NYMEX vs. Wood Mackenzie’s Henry Hub gas price forecast
Annual average LMPs in key regions (NYMEX case vs. Base Case)
Annual Average LMPs in key regions (NYMEX case vs Base Case)
Annual and Monthly Energy Prices' Percentage Delta in key regions (NYMEX case vs Base Case)