Macro Oils short-term outlook: June 2021
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Report summary
Table of contents
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Global supply: gradual easing of OPEC+ production restraint remains on course
- Non-OPEC: minor revisions driven by North America
- Colombia: widespread protests curtail crude oil production
- US Lower 48: forecast remains broadly unchanged as excess cash goes toward debt repayment
- OPEC: outlook unchanged as OPEC+ continue with planned easing of cuts
- Iran nuclear deal talks continue as Presidential elections loom
- Venezuela: downward revision of 60,000 b/d for May
- Development ramps up ahead of OPEC+ cuts easing
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Global demand: Covid-19 restrictions dent Asia Pacific demand, recovery outlook brightens in rest of world
- 2021: H2 2021 to see strong demand recovery amid economic growth, end of Covid-19 restrictions in major economies
- China, North America and Europe: H2 2021 recovery outlook brightens
- Emerging economies: Restrictions, lagging vaccination pace slow the recovery
- 2022: Global demand expected to break the 100 million b/d level
- Risks to the outlook
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