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Steel overcapacity in Southeast Asia – a looming threat and a path forward

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Southeast Asia's steel industry is at a critical juncture. Despite robust demand, the region's production capacity is set to double by 2030, risking overcapacity and market imbalances. Chinese investment are driving a shift towards carbon-intensive BF-BOF production, raising environmental red flags across the region. Will all planned expansion projects materialise amidst the volatile market weighed by a flood of cheap Chinese imports? What risks and opportunities lie ahead? How can the region balance growth, meet demand and ensure sustainability? Discover our in-depth analysis of Southeast Asia's looming steel overcapacity crisis and the path to a sustainable future.

Table of contents

  • Capacity Expansion and Overcapacity Concerns
  • Shift Towards Blast Furnace Production
  • Trade protection intensifies as steel imports surge

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • Announced capacity expansions by country and technology (Total 108Mt; BOF: 71.2Mt, EAF: 36.7Mt)
  • Announced capacity expansion projects
  • BOF and EAF production forecast
  • Overcapacity to aggravate despite improving utilisation rates
  • Trade remedies implemented by Southeast Asian economies (2023-2025)
  • Southeast Asia's dependence on steel imports eases over time

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Steel overcapacity in Southeast Asia – a looming threat and a path forward

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