Namibia faces setback as Shell downgrades oil discoveries
1 minute read
Vincenza Papaleo
Principal Analyst, Sub-Saharan Africa Upstream

Vincenza Papaleo
Principal Analyst, Sub-Saharan Africa Upstream
View Vincenza Papaleo 's full profileIan Thom
Research Director, Upstream

Ian Thom
Research Director, Upstream
Ian brings 18 years of experience to his role as head of regional analysis for Europe, Russian, Caspian and Africa
View Ian Thom's full profileShell’s downgrade of its Namibian deepwater oil discoveries may be a setback, but it doesn’t spell the end of subsurface exploration in the Orange Basin for either Shell or Namibia.
Wood Mackenzie analysts have used the Lens Subsurface platform to assess the impacted acreage, Shell’s drilling campaign and what this development means for the wider Orange Basin.
This summary provides insights into:
- Shell’s exploration campaign – Nine wells drilled across three key plays: Graff Complex, Jonker & Enigma, and Cullinan-1X.
- Challenges and risks – Namibia’s strong technical success vs. commercial hurdles, subsurface complexities, and deepwater exploration risks.
- What’s next? – Shell’s potential strategy shift, Namibia’s future as a deepwater oil producer, and why TotalEnergies and Galp are seeing more success.
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